The Last Instrumental Century
On the possibility — and the possible forms — of a human future
Tag
5 texts across all collections.
On the possibility — and the possible forms — of a human future
Nothing known prevents a superintelligence from existing; the technical path and the timeline are opaque; and the alignment problem is open while institutions are inadequate. An argument for cautious possibilism, neither doomerism nor complacency.
Linguistic competence in language models is a genuine achievement of intelligence, but only one region of a multidimensional topography that crows, chimpanzees and octopuses explore in ways LLMs cannot: action, grounding, interaction, development.
A tour of the frontiers of life, mind, matter, computation and the cosmos, and an argument that science, despite the systems that hobble it, remains humanity's noblest collective project.
A Hypothesis on Artificial Intelligence, Child Cognitive Development, and the Limits of the Statistical Mind